Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.592483 0.654421 0.723043 0.805278 0.901913 1.012825 1.151170
2024-12-15 0.500625 0.592766 0.706248 0.859588 1.066838 1.346023 1.767517
2024-12-22 0.420250 0.522815 0.659339 0.861997 1.170243 1.651647 2.537428
2024-12-29 0.377069 0.489015 0.648362 0.906041 1.345720 2.149104 4.025085
2025-01-05 0.329616 0.439407 0.602934 0.883835 1.406104 2.489639 5.641881
2025-01-12 0.285761 0.387729 0.544146 0.823922 1.376205 2.635284 7.033796
2025-01-19 0.251898 0.346447 0.494832 0.768880 1.336961 2.741054 8.575783
2025-01-26 0.237550 0.333211 0.488464 0.789336 1.462337 3.363333 14.354604
2025-02-02 0.232408 0.333617 0.504562 0.856000 1.723068 4.678794 35.907465
2025-02-09 0.220103 0.320708 0.495135 0.868295 1.854939 5.745773 85.611298
2025-02-16 0.203779 0.299388 0.467590 0.835664 1.849133 6.227252 167.520696
2025-02-23 0.194342 0.288966 0.459015 0.843828 1.971010 7.620955 1123.227957
2025-03-02 0.185206 0.279046 0.451736 0.857713 2.136970 9.913768 NaN
2025-03-09 0.176811 0.269965 0.445569 0.875065 2.339798 13.606693 NaN
2025-03-16 0.166127 0.255863 0.427722 0.859361 2.414649 16.794646 NaN
2025-03-23 0.160853 0.251210 0.428749 0.894603 2.739761 27.392517 NaN
2025-03-30 0.151325 0.237765 0.409524 0.869106 2.771118 33.807195 NaN
2025-04-06 0.140129 0.220395 0.380182 0.809126 2.597581 32.853597 NaN
2025-04-13 0.130284 0.205043 0.354048 0.754892 2.434280 31.531442 NaN
2025-04-20 0.126652 0.201324 0.352948 0.774520 2.682447 53.502040 NaN
2025-04-27 0.126166 0.203607 0.365407 0.839188 3.276967 188.433147 NaN
2025-05-04 0.122333 0.198984 0.361558 0.851064 3.560697 571.811382 NaN
2025-05-11 0.116303 0.189590 0.345676 0.819338 3.496995 860.117967 NaN